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Ethereum’s latest market efficiency has seen an sudden and sharp rejection from the $1.8K resistance degree, triggering a big downward development that broke down each the pivotal 100-day and 200-day shifting averages. This improvement is a transparent, bearish sign for Ethereum’s mid-term prospects.Technical EvaluationBy ShayanThe Each day ChartFollowing a notable drop from the important $1.8K resistance zone, Ethereum’s value dipped under the important 100-day and 200-day shifting averages, roughly across the $1.8K mark. But, the worth finally discovered help at a big degree of $1.6K, initiating a bounce.This help zone holds exact significance because it’s additionally the 61.6% Fibonacci retracement degree, equivalent to the latest impulsive upward transfer in direction of the $2.1K mark in early March.Nonetheless, this preliminary rebound was adopted by one other impulsive downward motion, once more touching the essential help zone at $1.6K. Whereas this value motion does point out a noticeable bearish sentiment available in the market, it’s important to acknowledge that the potential revival of help might set the stage for an additional potential bullish bounce.Such a rebound might doubtlessly shift the market right into a consolidation part. Contrarily, if the worth drops under the $1.6K mark, the opportunity of a bearish cascade turns into more and more seemingly.The 4-Hour ChartTrying on the 4-hour timeframe, it turns into evident that the downward trajectory was momentarily halted when Ethereum reached the substantial $1.6K help area. This indecision led to a quick consolidation part marked by low volatility. Nonetheless, the worth skilled a sudden surge (the Grayscale pump), marked by the emergence of a considerable inexperienced candle.Nonetheless, shopping for strain weakened as the worth ascended and approached the important 61.8% Fibonacci retracement degree, prompting a reversal. Consequently, the worth launched into one other impulsive retracement, driving it again in direction of the $1.6K vary. Moreover, Ethereum has shaped a bearish continuation flag sample, and it’s at present trying to breach the decrease boundary of this sample.As a result of the $1.6K threshold holds important psychological significance, if sellers efficiently push the worth under this important degree, the market might doubtlessly witness one other fast and steep plummet towards lower cost thresholds.On-chain EvaluationBy ShayanThe present Ethereum value motion showcases a strong downtrend, a notable exit from the weeks of consolidation inside a slender value vary. To achieve deeper insights into the market sentiment, analyzing futures market metrics is important.This explicit chart exhibits the 30-day shifting common of the taker buy-sell ratio metric, a key indicator revealing the relative aggressiveness of consumers versus sellers in executing their orders. When this metric information values above 1, it signifies a bullish sentiment, whereas values under 1 point out a bearish sentiment prevailing available in the market.The chart illustrates the downward trajectory of the taker buy-sell ratio over the previous few months. It persistently fluctuates under the pivotal one mark, reaching a yearly low. This conduct underscores the dominant bearish sentiment amongst futures merchants taking part in Ethereum’s market.So long as this prevailing development stays unaltered, the chance of witnessing additional bearish value actions stays excessive. For Ethereum’s value to provoke a brand new rally, it could necessitate a shift in conduct amongst futures merchants, particularly characterised by a extra aggressive shopping for stance. This shift can be noticeable when the metric rises above the important 1 threshold.SPECIAL OFFER (Sponsored) Binance Free $100 (Unique): Use this hyperlink to register and obtain $100 free and 10% off charges on Binance Futures first month (phrases).PrimeXBT Particular Provide: Use this hyperlink to register & enter CRYPTOPOTATO50 code to obtain as much as $7,000 in your deposits.Disclaimer: Info discovered on CryptoPotato is these of writers quoted. It doesn’t symbolize the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether or not to purchase, promote, or maintain any investments. You’re suggested to conduct your personal analysis earlier than making any funding selections. Use supplied info at your personal danger. See Disclaimer for extra info.Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.Supply: https://cryptopotato.com/eth-broke-crucial-support-heres-the-next-target-ethereum-price-analysis/
Max Gustafson
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LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN
March 12, 2023
Heather Cox Richardson
At 6:15 this evening, Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen, Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome H. Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg announced that Secretary Yellen has signed off on measures to enable the FDIC to fully protect everyone who had money in Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, California, and Signature Bank, New York. They will have access to all of their money starting Monday, March 13. None of the losses associated with this resolution, the statement said, “will be borne by the taxpayer.”
But, it continued, “Shareholders and certain unsecured debtholders will not be protected. Senior management has also been removed. Any losses to the Deposit Insurance Fund to support uninsured depositors will be recovered by a special assessment on banks, as required by law.”
The statement ended by assuring Americans that “the U.S. banking system remains resilient and on a solid foundation, in large part due to reforms that were made after the financial crisis that ensured better safeguards for the banking industry. Those reforms combined with today’s actions demonstrate our commitment to take the necessary steps to ensure that depositors’ savings remain safe.”
It’s been quite a weekend.
On Friday, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed in the largest bank failure since 2008. At the end of December 2022, SVB appears to have had about $209 billion in total assets and about $175 billion in deposits. This made SVB the sixteenth largest bank in the U.S., big in its sector but small compared with the more than $3 trillion JPMorgan Chase. This is the first bank failure of the Biden presidency (while Donald Trump Jr. tweeted that he had not heard of any bank failures during his father’s presidency, there were sixteen, eight of which happened before the pandemic). In fact, generally, a few banks fail every year; it is an oddity that none failed in 2021 or 2022.
The failure of SVB created shock waves for three reasons. First, SVB was the major bank for technology start-ups, so it involved much of a single sector of the economy. Second, only about $8 billion of the $173 billion worth of deposits in SVB were less than the $250,000 that the FDIC insures, meaning that the companies who had made those deposits might not get their money back quickly and thus might not be able to make payrolls, sparking a larger crisis. Third, there was concern that the problems that plagued SVB might cause other banks to fail, as well.
What seems to have happened, though, appears to be specific to SVB. Bloomberg’s Matt Levine explained it most clearly:
As the bank for start-ups, which have a lot of cash from investors and the initial public offering of stock, SVB had lots of deposits. But start-up companies don’t need much in the way of loans because they’ve just gotten so much cash and they don’t yet have fixed assets. So, rather than balancing deposits with loans that fluctuate with interest rates and thus keep a bank on an even keel, SVB’s directors took a gamble that the Federal Reserve would not raise interest rates. They invested in long-term Treasury bonds that paid better interest rates than short-term securities. But when, in fact, interest rates went up, the value of those long-term bonds sank.
For most banks, higher interest rates are good news because they can charge more for loans. But for SVB, they hurt.
Then, because SVB concentrated on start-ups, they had another problem. Start-ups are also hurt by rising interest rates because they tend to promise to deliver returns in the long term, which is fine so long as interest rates stay steadily low, as they have been now for years. But as interest rates go up, investors tend to like faster returns than most start-ups can deliver. They take their money to places that are going to see returns sooner. For SVB, that meant their depositors began to need some of that money they had dumped into the bank and started to withdraw their deposits.
So SVB sold securities at a loss to cover those deposits. Other investors panicked as they saw SVB selling at a loss and losing deposits, and they, too, started yanking their money out of the bank, collapsing it. Banks that have a more diverse client base are less likely to lose everyone all at once.
The FDIC took control of the bank on Friday. On Sunday, regulators also shut down Signature Bank, based in New York, which was a major bank for the cryptocurrency industry. Another crypto-friendly bank, Silvergate, failed last week.
Congress created the FDIC under the Banking Act of 1933 to restore trust in the American banking system after more than a third of U.S. banks failed after the Great Crash of 1929, sparking runs on banks as depositors rushed to take out their money whenever rumors suggested a bank was in trouble, thus causing more failures. The FDIC is an independent agency that insures deposits, examines and supervises banks to make sure they’re healthy, and manages the fallout when they’re not. The FDIC is backed by the full faith and credit of the government, but it is not funded by the government. Member banks pay insurance dues to cover bank failures, and when that isn’t enough money, the FDIC can borrow from the federal government or issue debt.
Over the weekend, the crisis at SVB became a larger argument over the role of government in the protection of the economy. Tech leaders took to social media to insist that the government must cover all the deposits in the failed bank, not just the ones covered under FDIC. They warned that the companies whose deposits were uninsured would fail, taking down the rest of the economy with them.
Others noted that the very men who were arguing the government should protect all the depositors’ money, not just that protected under the FDIC, have been vocal in opposing both government regulation of their industry and government relief for student loan debt, suggesting that they hate government action…except for themselves. They also pointed out that in 2018, under Trump, Congress weakened government regulations for banks like SVB and that SVB’s president had been a leading advocate for weakening those regulations. Had those regulations been in place, they argue, SVB would have remained solvent.
It appears that Yellen, Powell, and Gruenberg, in consultation with the president (as required), concluded that the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank was a systemic threat to the nation’s whole financial system, or perhaps they concluded that the panic over that collapse—which is a different thing than the collapse itself—was a threat to the nation’s financial system. They apparently decided to backstop the banks to prevent more damage. But they are eager to remind people that they are not using taxpayer money to shore up a poorly managed bank.
Right now, this appears to leave us with two takeaways. The Biden administration had been considering tightening the banking regulations that were loosened under Trump, and it seems likely that the need for the federal government to step in to protect the depositors at SVB and Signature Bank will make it much harder for those opposed to regulation to keep that from happening. There will likely be increased pressure on the Biden administration to guard against helping out the wealthy and corporations rather than ordinary Americans.
And, perhaps even more important, the weekend of panic and fear over the collapse of just one major bank should make it clear that the Republicans’ threat to default on the U.S. debt, thus pulling the rug out from under the entire U.S. economy unless they get their way, is simply unthinkable.
LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN
HEATHER COX RICHARDSON
Wow… much to think about!
On March 20, 2022, the New York Times published a 14,000-word puff piece on cryptocurrencies, both online and as an entire section of the Sunday print edition. Though its author, Kevin Roose, wrote that it aimed to be a “sober, dispassionate explanation of what crypto actually is”, it was a thinly-veiled advertisement for cryptocurrency that appeared to have received little in the way of fact-checking or critical editorial scrutiny. It uncritically repeated many questionable or entirely fallacious arguments from cryptocurrency advocates, and it appears that no experts on the topic were consulted, or even anyone with a less-than-rosy view on crypto. This is grossly irresponsible.
Here, a group of around fifteen cryptocurrency researchers and critics have done what the New York Times apparently won’t.
I like how snarky the critics are in this piece:
Manifesting Money
Remember that money is a tool. It can be used to build many feelings such as confidence, gratitude, and joy. But it's not the source of these things. You are.
Money is like a toothbrush. You use the toothbrush to brush your teeth so they can be healthy which results in what you're actually looking for, a confidence boost.
Notice how both money and a toothbrush are used to get a result but they aren't the focus nor the end goal.
When manifesting money, focus on why you have it. It'll be easier to feel abundant this way.
Personally, I use my riches to invest in my lifestyle, the people and things that I love, and my career. Thinking about the impact my wealth has on my life provides me with a much fuller experience of abundance than simply thinking about a number in my bank account does.
[Notice how I speak of my wealth in the present tense.]
Create beautiful things,
A
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